Some of you may know I manage £200+Million as an investment manager and I apply some of this knowledge to our service and betting system, so you could say I’m qualified to crunch numbers better than any other horse racing tipster.
Let say you want to put together an 8 Horse multiple bet, the most common way is similar to the below.
Your first selection in your bet is your banker and you’re pretty sure it is going to win, possibly 90% chance.
You next selection is your second strongest selection (80%) and your third selection your third strongest (70%) and so.
By the time you get to the sixth and seventh selection, these will be nowhere close to the same chance as your first selection and thus massively reducing the chance of landing the multiple and your eighth selection could be in the region of a 30% chance, you have to admit to yourself you are now gambling by adding this selection, compared to just betting on the first selection which could be viewed as a high risk investment.
So rather than picking eight horse on one day with each horse having a reduced chance of winning, we like to do this over days or weeks, most recently our best bets (otherwise known as a Nap bet) landed 8 times in a row and took 45 days to reach just under £20,000 profit for a £100 stake.
So putting a multiple in place, you’re better off increasing your stake but choosing few selections, or betting on your strongest bet and roll on the winning each day or when you stand the best chance of winning.
How many times do we report one tip one winner, that is because it had the best chance of winning.
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